Results

Track Record

Updated Sep 9, 2026 12:21 PM ET ← today's card

Track Record

Every pick we post, graded the next day against the box score. Tap a date for the full breakdown.

All picks45-39

Hit rate54%

Parlay1-6

Units won-5.13

Days7

Date	Day W-L	Hit%	Card	Running
Sep 8	7-5	58%	LOSS	45-39
Sep 7	7-5	58%	LOSS	38-34
Sep 6	9-3	75%	LOSS	31-29
Sep 5	3-9	25%	LOSS	22-26
Sep 4	5-7	42%	LOSS	19-17
Sep 3	6-6	50%	LOSS	14-10
Sep 2	8-4	67%	WIN	8-4

BOX

Grading Detail

Full breakdown of every card, newest first. We Said is the number we projected, Actual is what the box score shows, and Our Odds is the win chance we published before the game.

Tuesday, Sep 8, 2026 7-5 (58%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 2.21 · RMSE 2.43 · model said 64% · hit 58%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Jacob Misiorowski	Chicago Cubs	K	UNDER	8.5	63%	7.7	9	LOSS
Tanner Bibee	Baltimore Orioles	K	UNDER	5.5	63%	4.9	1	WIN
Sean Burke	Pittsburgh Pirates	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	63%	–	7	LOSS
Patrick Sandoval	Los Angeles Angels	ER	OVER (more)	1.5	63%	–	4	WIN
Drew Anderson	Minnesota Twins	OUTS	UNDER (more)	15.5	62%	–	16	LOSS
Brandon Young	Cleveland Guardians	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	62%	–	6	LOSS
Patrick Sandoval	Los Angeles Angels	OUTS	OVER	14.5	65%	15.4	18	WIN
Jacob Misiorowski	Chicago Cubs	OUTS	OVER	15.5	64%	16.5	19	WIN
Tarik Skubal	Cincinnati Reds	OUTS	OVER	16.5	64%	17.3	22	WIN
Casey Mize	Washington Nationals	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.01	3	LOSS
Tarik Skubal	Cincinnati Reds	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.1	2	WIN
Gabriel Hughes	New York Yankees	ER	UNDER	3.5	65%	3.03	1	WIN

Monday, Sep 7, 2026 7-5 (58%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 2.07 · RMSE 2.43 · model said 64% · hit 58%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Grayson Rodriguez	Boston Red Sox	HITS	UNDER	5.5	59%	5.16	6	LOSS
Jesús Luzardo	Atlanta Braves	K	OVER	6.5	58%	7.3	12	WIN
Grant Holmes	Philadelphia Phillies	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	68%	–	0	WIN
Matthew Boyd	Milwaukee Brewers	K	OVER (more)	3.5	57%	–	7	WIN
Eury Pérez	New York Mets	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	66%	–	5	LOSS
Joey Cantillo	Baltimore Orioles	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	66%	–	4	LOSS
Matthew Boyd	Milwaukee Brewers	OUTS	OVER	15.5	64%	16.5	21	WIN
Troy Melton	Minnesota Twins	OUTS	OVER	16.5	64%	17.4	17	WIN
Jesús Luzardo	Atlanta Braves	OUTS	OVER	17.5	63%	18.4	27	WIN
Grant Holmes	Philadelphia Phillies	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.02	0	WIN
Eury Pérez	New York Mets	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.09	5	LOSS
Joey Cantillo	Baltimore Orioles	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.1	4	LOSS

Sunday, Sep 6, 2026 9-3 (75%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 2.11 · RMSE 2.49 · model said 63% · hit 75%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Andrew Alvarez	Los Angeles Dodgers	K	OVER	3.5	61%	4.2	5	WIN
Tyler Phillips	Chicago Cubs	HITS	UNDER	4.5	62%	4.06	5	LOSS
MacKenzie Gore	Tampa Bay Rays	HITS	UNDER (more)	5.5	61%	–	7	LOSS
Kyle Leahy	Colorado Rockies	OUTS	UNDER (more)	14.5	56%	–	8	WIN
Walbert Ureña	Pittsburgh Pirates	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	68%	–	1	WIN
Tyler Mahle	Philadelphia Phillies	HITS	UNDER (more)	5.5	59%	–	4	WIN
Michael King	New York Yankees	OUTS	OVER	16.5	65%	17.4	18	WIN
Tyler Mahle	Philadelphia Phillies	OUTS	OVER	15.5	64%	16.4	18	WIN
Randy Dobnak	Toronto Blue Jays	OUTS	OVER	15.5	63%	16.4	18	WIN
Walbert Ureña	Pittsburgh Pirates	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.01	1	WIN
Christian Scott	San Francisco Giants	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.06	2	WIN
Andrew Alvarez	Los Angeles Dodgers	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.08	3	LOSS

Saturday, Sep 5, 2026 3-9 (25%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 1.73 · RMSE 2.11 · model said 63% · hit 25%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Tyler Glasnow	Washington Nationals	HITS	UNDER	4.5	61%	4.1	6	LOSS
Javier Assad	Miami Marlins	OUTS	UNDER	14.5	57%	13.9	14	WIN
Parker Messick	Detroit Tigers	K	OVER (more)	5.5	58%	–	12	WIN
Brandon Pfaadt	Houston Astros	HITS	UNDER (more)	5.5	59%	–	7	LOSS
Robbie Ray	New York Yankees	ER	UNDER (more)	2.5	68%	–	5	LOSS
Framber Valdez	Cleveland Guardians	K	OVER (more)	3.5	57%	–	3	LOSS
Martín Pérez	Philadelphia Phillies	OUTS	OVER	13.5	64%	14.4	11	LOSS
Taj Bradley	Chicago White Sox	OUTS	OVER	15.5	64%	16.5	15	LOSS
Seth Lugo	Toronto Blue Jays	OUTS	OVER	15.5	63%	16.4	15	LOSS
Robbie Ray	New York Yankees	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.01	5	LOSS
Tyler Glasnow	Washington Nationals	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.02	4	LOSS
Cade Cavalli	Los Angeles Dodgers	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.07	2	WIN

Friday, Sep 4, 2026 5-7 (42%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 1.45 · RMSE 1.73 · model said 62% · hit 42%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Max Fried	San Diego Padres	K	OVER	4.5	58%	5.1	4	LOSS
Janson Junk	Chicago Cubs	K	UNDER	3.5	60%	3.2	4	LOSS
Andre Pallante	Colorado Rockies	K	OVER (more)	3.5	58%	–	1	LOSS
Shane Baz	Boston Red Sox	K	OVER (more)	4.5	57%	–	6	WIN
Zebby Matthews	Chicago White Sox	K	UNDER (more)	5.5	57%	–	4	WIN
Keider Montero	Cleveland Guardians	K	UNDER (more)	3.5	57%	–	4	LOSS
Keider Montero	Cleveland Guardians	OUTS	OVER	15.5	65%	16.4	12	LOSS
Erick Fedde	Minnesota Twins	OUTS	OVER	13.5	64%	14.4	15	WIN
Merrill Kelly	Houston Astros	OUTS	OVER	15.5	64%	16.5	18	WIN
Nolan McLean	San Francisco Giants	ER	UNDER	2.5	68%	2.01	2	WIN
Nick Martinez	Texas Rangers	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.06	3	LOSS
Keider Montero	Cleveland Guardians	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.06	6	LOSS

Thursday, Sep 3, 2026 6-6 (50%) parlay LOSS · $100 → $0.00

K MAE 1.68 · RMSE 1.93 · model said 60% · hit 50%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
Cal Quantrill	Tampa Bay Rays	K	OVER	3.5	58%	4.2	5	WIN
Jack Perkins	Seattle Mariners	K	UNDER	5.5	57%	5.3	7	LOSS
Tarik Skubal	St. Louis Cardinals	K	OVER (more)	5.5	56%	–	6	WIN
Brandon Young	Boston Red Sox	K	UNDER (more)	4.5	56%	–	7	LOSS
José Soriano	Cleveland Guardians	K	OVER (more)	4.5	56%	–	2	LOSS
Luis Castillo	Houston Astros	K	UNDER (more)	4.5	56%	–	3	WIN
Jack Perkins	Seattle Mariners	OUTS	OVER	13.5	65%	14.4	9	LOSS
José Soriano	Cleveland Guardians	OUTS	OVER	15.5	62%	16.4	14	LOSS
Hunter Brown	Chicago White Sox	OUTS	OVER	15.5	62%	16.3	18	WIN
Tarik Skubal	St. Louis Cardinals	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.1	2	WIN
José Soriano	Cleveland Guardians	ER	UNDER	2.5	66%	2.11	3	LOSS
Hunter Brown	Chicago White Sox	ER	UNDER	2.5	65%	2.13	2	WIN

Wednesday, Sep 2, 2026 8-4 (67%) parlay WIN · $100 → $186.98

K MAE 1.97 · RMSE 2.42 · model said 65% · hit 67%

Pitcher	Opp	Market	Pick	Line	Our Odds	We Said	Actual	Result
David Peterson	Milwaukee Brewers	K	OVER	3.5	70%	4.8	4	WIN
Landen Roupp	Pittsburgh Pirates	K	UNDER	6.5	77%	5.1	4	WIN
Casey Mize	Cincinnati Reds	K	OVER (more)	3.5	62%	–	4	WIN
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	St. Louis Cardinals	K	OVER (more)	5.5	61%	–	8	WIN
Bubba Chandler	San Francisco Giants	K	OVER (more)	3.5	60%	–	4	WIN
Griffin Jax	New York Mets	K	OVER (more)	4.5	60%	–	1	LOSS
Bubba Chandler	San Francisco Giants	OUTS	OVER	14.5	64%	15.4	15	WIN
Joey Cantillo	Toronto Blue Jays	OUTS	OVER	13.5	62%	14.5	16	WIN
Tomoyuki Sugano	Baltimore Orioles	OUTS	OVER	14.5	62%	15.2	18	WIN
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	St. Louis Cardinals	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.04	4	LOSS
Casey Mize	Cincinnati Reds	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.04	4	LOSS
Eury Pérez	Kansas City Royals	ER	UNDER	2.5	67%	2.06	6	LOSS

Graded against MLB box scores · fair odds with no house cut · past results do not predict future outcomes
Analysis only · not gambling advice · 21+
Privacy Policy · Terms of Service · If gambling is a problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER