Props Edge is a model, not a tipster. Every day it projects MLB pitcher and batter props, prices each one as fair odds, compares that price with a real sportsbook's line, and publishes its picks before first pitch. The next morning every pick is graded against the official box score, and the running record is on the track record page — wins, losses and all.
What you see on the card
- Projection — our number for the stat, built from each player's own recent performance and tonight's matchup.
- Win % — how often a projection like this has actually cleared the line, measured on real results rather than assumed.
- Fair odds — that win chance written as odds with no house cut.
- Mkt Edge — where a sportsbook has posted a line, the gap between our probability and the book's once its margin is removed.
The picks
The headline is two picks — one over, one under — plus a short list of extra plays and the day's strongest batter calls. Every pick that counts toward the record is listed in the On the Record section of the card, so there is never any question about what was graded. How to read fair odds →
Grading
Results come straight from the MLB Stats API box scores. Each pick is marked win, loss or push, and nothing is added or removed after the fact. The track record also shows how well our stated probabilities matched what actually happened.
None of this is advice to place a bet. Odds shown are fair value, not sportsbook prices — shop your own line.